Lockdowns, Immunity, and Other Viral Puzzles
Suddenly everyone seems to have opinions about viruses and how to deal with them. If youβve been following this blog for a while, you may already know my opinion about…
Suddenly everyone seems to have opinions about viruses and how to deal with them. If youβve been following this blog for a while, you may already know my opinion about…
[Updates and corrections below original post.] In The 2020s and Beyond I mentioned that βblack swansβ (unpredictable, extreme events) can seriously mess up any prediction. In that article I sketched…