On βPessimismβ and βOptimismβ about Climate Change; and on SRM as a βCheap Fixβ
Letβs imagine the most optimistic climate change scenario for a century from now, without going completely bonkers. To do that, letβs first split up greenhouse gas emissions (COβ-equivalent or βCOβeβ) into non-residual and residual emissions. The latter are emissions that are difficult or impossible to (fully) eliminate due to technological or other limitations. In our scenario, non-residual emissions β that is, emissions that we can actually reduce with current technology and without disastrous socio-economic impacts β continue to grow a little bit for a while (as they do in reality), but the curve starts bending down soon (which is a...