(This is part 7 of the “Stages of the Anthropocene, Revisited” Series (SotA-R).) There’s no plausible peaceful path to carbon-neutrality. If there’s one key takeaway from my attempts to model…
(This is part 6 of the “Stages of the Anthropocene, Revisited” Series (SotA-R).) As mentioned in the section “limitations and alternative approaches” of the previous episode in this series, there…
(This is part 5 of the “Stages of the Anthropocene, Revisited” Series (SotA-R).) The aim of this series is a better prediction of the long-term prospects for human civilization (in…
(This is part 4 of the “Stages of the Anthropocene, Revisited” Series (SotA-R).) The purpose of this series is an update of the mid- and long-term prediction of aspects of…
(This is part 3 of the “Stages of the Anthropocene, Revisited” Series (SotA-R).) Drought is (obviously) not the only kind of disaster caused by climate change, although it is probably…
(This is part 2 of the “Stages of the Anthropocene, Revisited” Series (SotA-R).) Of all climate-change-related disasters, drought may very well be the worst. While other kinds of disasters might…
(This is part 1 of the “Stages of the Anthropocene, Revisited” Series (SotA-R).) In Stages of the Anthropocene (2018), I argued that if one aims to make mid- or long-term…
A year ago, I predicted that the Covid19 pandemic would kill 35 million or even more people. Although mortality statistics suggest that the current official death count (about two and…
This year several governments announced that their countries will be carbon neutral by 2050. This is a cheap promise, as the target is so far in the future that it…